Few journalists note that Bernie Sanders is from Brooklyn, NY. Donald Trump is from Queens, NY. What an exciting campaign if they are the two candidates. Brooklyn against Queens. One voter displayed a Bernie for President sign in Somerville MA near Tufts University on Monday August 31, 2015.
[From article]
I call it the Pendulum Factor.
It reflects the fact that the legacy of each president includes the political climate he leaves behind. In plain English, Barack Obama’s most important failures as a leader begat Donald Trump’s success.
A favorable legacy among voters generally means the public wants more of the same in the next president. The clearest example is that Vice President George H.W. Bush succeeded Ronald Reagan in 1988, an election widely regarded as Reagan’s third term.
On the other hand, George W. Bush narrowly defeated Vice President Al Gore in 2000, a disputed election that was nonetheless seen as a repudiation of the scandal-scarred Bill Clinton era.
The pendulum swung back again when Obama followed Bush, who left office with wars in Iraq and Afghanistan unsettled and the economy cratering and jobs vanishing.
With Obama’s poll numbers underwater, the country wants change again. And Trump is the ultimate Un-Obama candidate, especially in style and attitude.
[. . .]
Stern magazine featured Obama’s picture with the words: “Savior — or demagogue?”
http://nypost.com/2015/08/29/pendulum-factor-could-land-trump-in-white-house/
‘Pendulum Factor’ could land Trump in White House
By Michael Goodwin
New York Post
August 29, 2015 | 11:49pm
I call it the Pendulum Factor.
It reflects the fact that the legacy of each president includes the political climate he leaves behind. In plain English, Barack Obama’s most important failures as a leader begat Donald Trump’s success.
A favorable legacy among voters generally means the public wants more of the same in the next president. The clearest example is that Vice President George H.W. Bush succeeded Ronald Reagan in 1988, an election widely regarded as Reagan’s third term.
On the other hand, George W. Bush narrowly defeated Vice President Al Gore in 2000, a disputed election that was nonetheless seen as a repudiation of the scandal-scarred Bill Clinton era.
The pendulum swung back again when Obama followed Bush, who left office with wars in Iraq and Afghanistan unsettled and the economy cratering and jobs vanishing.
With Obama’s poll numbers underwater, the country wants change again. And Trump is the ultimate Un-Obama candidate, especially in style and attitude.
[. . .]
Stern magazine featured Obama’s picture with the words: “Savior — or demagogue?”
http://nypost.com/2015/08/29/pendulum-factor-could-land-trump-in-white-house/
‘Pendulum Factor’ could land Trump in White House
By Michael Goodwin
New York Post
August 29, 2015 | 11:49pm
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